Final Bracket Projection

  1. Villanova, Kansas, Gonzaga, Kentucky
  2. N. Carolina, Duke, Oregon, Arizona
  3. Florida St., UCLA, Baylor, Butler
  4. Louisville, Florida, Minnesota, Purdue
  5. Notre Dame, Maryland, Michigan, Wisconsin
  6. Virginia, St. Mary’s, Iowa St., SMU
  7. W. Virginia, Creighton, Cincinnati, Virginia Tech
  8. Northwestern, S. Carolina, Arkansas, Dayton
  9. Miami (FL), Michigan St., Seton Hall, Marquette
  10. VCU, Xavier, USC, Oklahoma St.
  11. Wichita St., Rhode Island, Vanderbilt, Syracuse
  12. Providence, Wake Forest, Mid. Tenn. St., NC-Wilmington, Nevada, N. Mexico St.
  13. Vermont, Princeton, Winthrop, Bucknell
  14. Fla. Gulf Coast, E. Tenn. St., Texas Southern, N. Kentucky
  15. Iona, NC Central, N. Dakota, Kent St.
  16. New Orleans, UC-Davis, Mt. St. Mary’s, Troy, Jacksonville St., S. Dakota St.
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Selection Sunday Morning Edition

  1. Villanova, Kansas, Gonzaga, N. Carolina
  2. Kentucky, Duke, Oregon, Arizona
  3. Florida St., UCLA, Baylor, Butler
  4. Louisville, Florida, Minnesota, Purdue
  5. Notre Dame, Maryland, Wisconsin, Virginia
  6. Michigan, St. Mary’s, Iowa St., W. Virginia
  7. Creighton, SMU, Cincinnati, Virginia Tech
  8. Northwestern, S. Carolina, Arkansas, Dayton
  9. Miami (FL), Michigan St., Seton Hall, Marquette
  10. VCU, Xavier, USC, Oklahoma St.
  11. Wichita St., Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Providence
  12. Wake Forest, Rhode Island, Mid. Tenn. St., NC-Wilmington, Nevada, N. Mexico St.
  13. Vermont, Princeton, Winthrop, Bucknell
  14. Fla. Gulf Coast, E. Tenn. St., Texas Southern, N. Kentucky
  15. Iona, NC Central, N. Dakota, Kent St.
  16. New Orleans, UC-Davis, Mt. St. Mary’s, Troy, Jacksonville St., S. Dakota St.

Today’s possibilities:

  • Kentucky grabs the #1 from UNC with a win
  • Wisconsin moves to a 4 and Michigan moves to a 5 with a win.
  • The American champ moves to 6.
  • Arkansas moves to 7 with a win.
  • VCU moves to 9 with a win.
  • Rhode Island rests easy and moves to 11 with a win.

March 11th Night Bracket

  1. Villanova, Kansas, Gonzaga, N. Carolina
  2. Kentucky, Oregon, Florida St., UCLA
  3. Duke, Baylor, Butler, Louisville
  4. Arizona, Florida, Minnesota, Purdue
  5. Notre Dame, Maryland, Wisconsin, Virginia
  6. Michigan, St. Mary’s, W. Virginia, Iowa St.
  7. Creighton, SMU, Cincinnati, Virginia Tech
  8. Northwestern, S. Carolina, Arkansas, Dayton
  9. Miami (FL), Michigan St., Seton Hall, Marquette
  10. VCU, Xavier, USC, Oklahoma St.
  11. Wichita St., Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Providence, Wake Forest, Rhode Island
  12. Mid. Tenn. St., NC-Wilmington, Nevada, Vermont
  13. N. Mexico St., Princeton, Winthrop, Bucknell
  14. Fla. Gulf Coast, E. Tenn. St., Akron, Texas Southern
  15. N. Kentucky, Iona, NC Central, UC-Irvine
  16. New Orleans, Mt. St. Mary’s, Troy, Weber St, Jacksonville St., S. Dakota St.

Not much left to sort out.  It comes down to Rhode Island and Illinois St. for the final spot. Rhody can put an end to any debate by grabbing the automatic bid tomorrow.  However, a loss in the C-USA title game tonight would put Mid. Tennessee into that same debate.  Kentucky and/or Oregon could make a convincing case for a one seed with conference championships.  The SMU-Cincy winner will move up to a six.  The Big Ten winner could get as high as a 4.  This may be the smallest bubble I can remember.

March 10th Evening Bracket

  1. Villanova, Kansas, Gonzaga, N. Carolina
  2. Kentucky, Oregon, UCLA, Florida St.
  3. Duke, Baylor, Butler, Louisville
  4. Arizona, Minnesota, Florida, Purdue
  5. Maryland, Notre Dame, Wisconsin, Virginia
  6. St. Mary’s, Michigan, W. Virginia, SMU
  7. Creighton, Cincinnati, Virginia Tech, Northwestern
  8. Iowa St., S. Carolina, Dayton, Miami (FL)
  9. Arkansas, Michigan St., Seton Hall, Marquette
  10. VCU, Xavier, USC, Oklahoma St.
  11. Wichita St., Vanderbilt, Syracuse, Providence, Wake Forest, Illinois St.
  12. Mid Tenn St., NC-Wilmington, Nevada, Vermont
  13. Tx-Arlington, N. Mexico St., Princeton, Winthrop
  14. Bucknell, Fla. Gulf Coast, E. Tenn. St., Akron
  15. Texas Southern, N. Kentucky, Iona, NC Central
  16. E. Washington, UC-Irvine, New Orleans, Mt. St. Mary’s, Jville St., S. Dakota St.

Still in the hunt: Rhode Island, California, Kansas St., Mississippi, Alabama

March 9th Evening Bracket

  1. Villanova, N. Carolina, Kansas, Gonzaga
  2. Baylor, Kentucky, Oregon, Butler
  3. UCLA, Florida St., Duke, Louisville
  4. Arizona, Florida, Purdue, Maryland
  5. Minnesota, Virginia, Notre Dame, Wisconsin
  6. St. Mary’s, W. Virginia, SMU, Creighton
  7. Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, Michigan, S. Carolina
  8. Dayton, Northwestern, Iowa St., Miami(FL)
  9. Michigan St., Arkansas, Seton Hall, Marquette
  10. VCU, USC, Oklahoma St., Xavier
  11. Providence, Wichita St., Syracuse, Vanderbilt
  12. Wake Forest, Iowa, Mid. Tenn. St., NC-Wilmington, Nevada, Vermont
  13. Tx-Arlington, N. Mexico St., Princeton, Winthrop
  14. Bucknell, Fla. Gulf Coast, E. Tenn. St., Akron
  15. Texas Southern, N. Kentucky, Iona, NC Central
  16. E. Washington, UC-Irvine, New Orleans, Mt. St. Mary’s, Jacksonville St., S.Dakota St.

First Four Out: Illinois St., Illinois, California, Rhode Island

Next Four Out: Kansas St., Georgia, Mississippi, Indiana

Iowa in and Illinois out, at least for now.  No other major changes.  Illinois moves up to the first team out line.  A Vandy or Iowa loss tonight would move them up a slot.

March 9th Bracket

  1. Kansas, Villanova, N. Carolina, Gonzaga
  2. Baylor, Kentucky, Oregon, Butler
  3. UCLA, Florida St., Duke, Louisville
  4. Arizona, Florida, Purdue, Maryland
  5. Minnesota, Virginia, Notre Dame, Wisconsin
  6. St. Mary’s, W. Virginia, SMU, Creighton
  7. Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, Michigan, S. Carolina
  8. Miami(FL), Dayton, Northwestern, Iowa St.
  9. Michigan St., Arkansas, Marquette, Seton Hall
  10. Oklahoma St., VCU, USC, Xavier
  11. Providence, Wichita St., Syracuse, Vanderbilt
  12. Wake Forest, Illinois, Mid. Tenn. St., NC-Wilmington, Nevada, Vermont
  13. Tx-Arlington, N. Mexico St., Princeton, Winthrop
  14. Bucknell, Fla. Gulf Coast, E. Tenn. St., Akron
  15. Texas Southern, N. Kentucky, Iona, NC Central
  16. E. Washington, UC-Irvine, New Orleans, Mt. St. Mary’s, Jacksonville St., S.Dakota St.

First Four Out: Iowa, Illinois St., California, Rhode Island

Next Four Out: Kansas St., Georgia, Mississippi, Indiana

Syracuse and Wake Forest are currently placeholders, but they will remain where they are if nobody behind them mounts a charge.  Iowa, Cal, and Rhode Island could be in with multiple wins.  Kansas St. would be helped immensely if it knocks off Baylor.  The rest of the bunch needs to make a conference final run, and that may not be enough.  The flip side to all this, Syracuse, Vandy, and Wake could all be sitting at home if there are some upset conference champs.  Illinois St. is in a strange spot also.  I think they need early losses by Vandy, Illinois, and Iowa to sneak in.

March 7th Bracket

  1. Kansas, Villanova, N. Carolina, Gonzaga
  2. Baylor, Kentucky, Oregon, Butler
  3. UCLA, Florida St., Duke, Louisville
  4. Arizona, Florida, Purdue, Maryland
  5. Minnesota, Virginia, Notre Dame, Wisconsin
  6. St. Mary’s, W. Virginia, SMU, Creighton
  7. Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, Michigan, S. Carolina
  8. Miami(FL), Dayton, Northwestern, Iowa St.
  9. Michigan St., Arkansas, Marquette, Seton Hall
  10. Oklahoma St., VCU, USC, Xavier
  11. Providence, Wichita St., Syracuse, Vanderbilt
  12. Wake Forest, Illinois, Mid. Tenn. St., NC-Wilmington, Nevada, Vermont
  13. Tx-Arlington, N. Mexico St., Princeton, Winthrop
  14. Bucknell, Fla. Gulf Coast, E. Tenn. St., Akron
  15. Texas Southern, N. Kentucky, Iona, Omaha
  16. NC Central, E. Washington, UC-Irvine, New Orleans, Mt. St. Mary’s, Jacksonville St.

First Four Out: Iowa, Illinois St., California, Rhode Island

Next Four Out: Kansas St., Clemson, Georgia, Mississippi

Amazingly, it seems like there are only four at-large spots available. That number shrinks if there is any chaos in the major tournaments. A Syracuse win over Miami tomorrow locks them in and leaves only three spots.  There is little margin for error on the bubble, and that margin could disappear completely if three conference titles slip to teams outside of the projections.

 

 

March 2nd Bracket

  1. Kansas, Villanova, N. Carolina, Gonzaga
  2. Baylor, Butler, Kentucky, Oregon
  3. UCLA, Duke, Florida St., Florida
  4. Arizona, Louisville, Purdue, Minnesota
  5. Notre Dame, Maryland, Virginia, Wisconsin
  6. Creighton, St. Mary’s, SMU, W. Virginia
  7. Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, S. Carolina, Miami(FL)
  8. Dayton, Northwestern, Iowa St., Michigan St.
  9. Michigan, Arkansas, Marquette, Seton Hall
  10. Oklahoma St., VCU, USC, Xavier
  11. Illinois, Providence, Syracuse, Wichita St., California, Illinois St.
  12. Mid Teen St., NC-Wilmington, Monmouth, Vermont
  13. Valparaiso, Nevada, Tx-Arlington, Akron
  14. Cal St. Bakersfield, Belmont, NC-Asheville, Bucknell
  15. Princeton, E. Tenn. St., Fl. Gulf Coast, S. Dakota
  16. NC Central, Tex. Southern, New Orleans, E. Washington, UC-Irvine, Mt. St. Mary’s

First Four Out: Ohio St., Georgia Tech, Rhode Island, Vanderbilt

Next Four Out:  Wake Forest, Georgia, Kansas St., Clemson

February 28th Bracket

  1. Kansas, Villanova, N. Carolina, Gonzaga
  2. Baylor, Butler, Kentucky, Florida St.
  3. Oregon, UCLA, Louisville, Duke
  4. Florida, Arizona, Purdue, Minnesota
  5. Notre Dame, Maryland, Virginia, Wisconsin
  6. Creighton, St. Mary’s, SMU, W. Virginia
  7. Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, S. Carolina, Miami (FL)
  8. Michigan St., Michigan, Dayton, Iowa St.
  9. Northwestern, Arkansas, Oklahoma St., VCU
  10. Seton Hall, USC, Xavier, Marquette
  11. Providence, Syracuse, Illinois, Wichita St., California, Vanderbilt
  12. Mid. Tenn. St., NC-Wilmington, Monmouth, Vermont
  13. Valparaiso, Nevada, Tx-Arlington, Akron
  14. Cal St. Bakersfield, Belmont, NC-Asheville, Bucknell
  15. Princeton, E. Tenn. St., Fla. Gulf Coast, S. Dakota
  16. NC Central, Texas Southern, Tx A&M-CC, E. Washington, UC Irvine, Mt. St. Mary’s

First Four Out: Illinois St., Ohio St., Georgia Tech, Indiana

Next Four Out: Rhode Island, Mississippi, Georgia, Wake Forest

February 19th Bracket

  1. Gonzaga, Villanova, Kansas, N. Carolina
  2. Baylor, Arizona, Kentucky, Louisville
  3. Oregon, Florida St., Florida, Duke
  4. Butler, Maryland, UCLA, Wisconsin
  5. Creighton, Purdue, Notre Dame, W. Virginia
  6. SMU, Cincinnati, Virginia, Minnesota
  7. S. Carolina, Dayton, St. Mary’s, VCU
  8. USC, Northwestern, Virginia Tech, Xavier
  9. Miami(FL), Michigan, Marquette, Arkansas
  10. Michigan St., Iowa St., Oklahoma St., Syracuse
  11. Seton Hall, Providence, Georgia Tech, California, TCU, Wichita St.
  12. Mid. Tenn. St., NC-Wilmington, Monmouth, Valparaiso
  13. N. Mexico St., Vermont, Akron, Nevada
  14. Tx-Arlington, NC-Asheville, Bucknell, Belmont
  15. Princeton, E. Tenn. St., Fla. Gulf Coast, N. Dakota St.
  16. NC Central, Texas Southern, S. Houston St., Weber St., UC-Davis, Mt. St. Mary’s

First Four Out: Pittsburgh, Kansas St., Clemson, Georgetown

Next Four Out: Wake Forest, Indiana, Texas Tech, Rhode Island