Bowl Projections

A lot of the 5-6 teams stepped up and grabbed a needed win, but two teams (N. Texas and Mississippi State) qualify without six wins thanks to APR, plus South Alabama and Louisiana-Lafayette (both need a win this week) are provisionally in bowls.  Also, Army has qualified in multiple ways, despite needing a win over Navy to reach the win requirement because of two FCS wins.  They have six overall wins and would qualify by APR.  Hawaii gets in at 6-7 because of the lack of 6-6 teams.

Of greater importance to most of America, Ohio State’s double overtime win gets them into the playoff.  The closeness of the game keeps Michigan’s slim hopes alive if Washington and/or Clemson lose their title games.  The same holds true for Penn State and Wisconsin, and possibly Oklahoma.

New Mexico Albuquerque Dec 17 UTSA New Mexico
Las Vegas Las Vegas Dec 17 San Diego St. Hawaii
Camellia Montgomery Dec 17 C. Michigan Arkansas St.
Cure Orlando Dec 17 S. Florida Idaho
New Orleans New Orleans Dec 17 La Tech App. St.
Miami Beach Miami Dec 19 Tulsa E. Michigan
Boca Raton Boca Raton Dec 20 Temple Mid Tenn St.
Poinsettia San Diego Dec 21 BYU Air Force
Famous Idaho Boise Dec 22 Ohio Wyoming
Bahamas Nassau Dec 23 Houston Toledo
Armed Forces Fort Worth Dec 23 Navy N. Texas
Dollar General Mobile Dec 23 Miami (OH) Troy
Hawaii Honolulu Dec 24 Old Dominion Boise St.
St. Pete St. Petersburg Dec 26 UCF Boston College
Quick Lane Detroit Dec 26 S. Alabama Maryland
Independence Shreveport Dec 26 NC State Vanderbilt
Heart of Dallas Dallas Dec 27 La-Lafayette S. Mississippi
Military Annapolis Dec 27 Army Wake Forest
Holiday San Diego Dec 27 Nebraska Stanford
Cactus Phoenix Dec 27 Baylor Miss. St.
Pinstripe Bronx Dec 28 Pittsburgh Northwestern
Russell Athletic Orlando Dec 28 Virginia Tech W. Virginia
Foster Farms Santa Clara Dec 28 Indiana Washington St.
Texas Houston Dec 28 TCU Arkansas
Birmingham Birmingham Dec 29 Memphis S. Carolina
Belk Charlotte Dec 29 N. Carolina Kentucky
Alamo San Antonio Dec 29 Oklahoma St. USC
Arizona Tucson Dec 30 W. Kentucky Colorado St.
Liberty Memphis Dec 30 Kansas St. Texas A&M
Sun El Paso Dec 30 Miami Utah
Music City Nashville Dec 30 Minnesota Georgia
BWW Citrus Orlando Dec 31 Florida St. Tennessee
TaxSlayer Jacksonville Dec 31 Georgia Tech Auburn
Outback Tampa Jan 2 Iowa LSU
Orange Miami Dec 30 Louisville Penn St.
Cotton Arlington Jan 2 W. Michigan Wisconsin
Rose Pasadena Jan 2 Michigan Colorado
Sugar New Orleans Jan 2 Oklahoma Florida
Fiesta (Semi) Glendale Dec 31 Clemson Ohio State
Peach (Semi) Atlanta Dec 31 Alabama Washington

Bowl Projections

Plenty of chaos this weekend. Enough, in fact, to keep Michigan and Clemson in my playoff.  Michigan and Ohio State are both in the top four, but that will likely be sorted out with the winner of that game in and the loser out.  Four 4-6 teams get in by APR, but that also should be sorted out with many teams with solid chances at winning their final two games to get to the magic .500 mark.

New Mexico Albuquerque Dec 17 UTSA Boston College
Las Vegas Las Vegas Dec 17 San Diego St. Arizona St.
Camellia Montgomery Dec 17 Colorado St. Idaho
Cure Orlando Dec 17 SMU App. St.
New Orleans New Orleans Dec 17 S. Mississippi Arkansas St.
Miami Beach Miami Dec 19 UCF E. Michigan
Boca Raton Boca Raton Dec 20 Temple Mid Tenn St.
Poinsettia San Diego Dec 21 BYU Boise St.
Famous Idaho Boise Dec 22 C. Michigan Wyoming
Bahamas Nassau Dec 23 Tulsa Ohio
Armed Forces Fort Worth Dec 23 Navy TCU
Dollar General Mobile Dec 23 Toledo Troy
Hawaii Honolulu Dec 24 Louisiana Tech Air Force
St. Pete St. Petersburg Dec 26 S. Florida Notre Dame
Quick Lane Detroit Dec 26 Vanderbilt Maryland
Independence Shreveport Dec 26 Georgia Tech S. Carolina
Heart of Dallas Dallas Dec 27 Army W. Kentucky
Military Annapolis Dec 27 Memphis NC State
Holiday San Diego Dec 27 Iowa USC
Cactus Phoenix Dec 27 Texas Duke
Pinstripe Bronx Dec 28 Pittsburgh Northwestern
Russell Athletic Orlando Dec 28 Florida St. Oklahoma St.
Foster Farms Santa Clara Dec 28 Indiana Stanford
Texas Houston Dec 28 Baylor Texas A&M
Birmingham Birmingham Dec 29 Houston Ole Miss
Belk Charlotte Dec 29 N. Carolina Arkansas
Alamo San Antonio Dec 29 W. Virginia Colorado
Arizona Tucson Dec 30 Old Dominion New Mexico
Liberty Memphis Dec 30 Kansas St. Kentucky
Sun El Paso Dec 30 Wake Forest Utah
Music City Nashville Dec 30 Minnesota Georgia
BWW Citrus Orlando Dec 31 Virginia Tech Auburn
TaxSlayer Jacksonville Dec 31 Miami LSU
Outback Tampa Jan 2 Nebraska Tennessee
Orange Miami Dec 30 Louisville Wisconsin
Cotton Arlington Jan 2 W. Michigan Washington
Rose Pasadena Jan 2 Penn St. Washington St.
Sugar New Orleans Jan 2 Oklahoma Florida
Fiesta (Semi) Glendale Dec 31 Ohio St. Michigan
Peach (Semi) Atlanta Dec 31 Alabama Clemson

Bowl Projections

Lot of spots opened up for the (currently 4-5) APR crew.  That should change with conference play and a few FCS games in the final weeks.

New Mexico Albuquerque Dec 17 S. Mississippi New Mexico
Las Vegas Las Vegas Dec 17 San Diego St. California
Camellia Montgomery Dec 17 E. Michigan App. St.
Cure Orlando Dec 17 SMU Idaho
New Orleans New Orleans Dec 17 La Tech Ga Southern
Miami Beach Miami Dec 19 UCF Ohio
Boca Raton Boca Raton Dec 20 Temple W. Kentucky
Poinsettia San Diego Dec 21 BYU Colorado St.
Famous Idaho Boise Dec 22 C. Michigan Wyoming
Bahamas Nassau Dec 23 Tulsa Toledo
Armed Forces Fort Worth Dec 23 Navy Texas
Dollar General Mobile Dec 23 Akron Troy
Hawaii Honolulu Dec 24 W. Kentucky Air Force
St. Pete St. Petersburg Dec 26 S. Florida Miami
Quick Lane Detroit Dec 26 Boston College Indiana
Independence Shreveport Dec 26 NC State Vanderbilt
Heart of Dallas Dallas Dec 27 Texas Tech UTSA
Military Annapolis Dec 27 Memphis Syracuse
Holiday San Diego Dec 27 Minnesota USC
Cactus Phoenix Dec 27 TCU Arizona St.
Pinstripe Bronx Dec 28 Pittsburgh Northwestern
Russell Athletic Orlando Dec 28 Virginia Tech W. Virginia
Foster Farms Santa Clara Dec 28 Iowa Stanford
Texas Houston Dec 28 Oklahoma St. Texas A&M
Birmingham Birmingham Dec 29 Houston South Carolina
Belk Charlotte Dec 29 Wake Forest Arkansas
Alamo San Antonio Dec 29 Baylor Utah
Arizona Tucson Dec 30 Mid Tenn St. Boise St.
Liberty Memphis Dec 30 Kansas St. LSU
Sun El Paso Dec 30 Georgia Tech Colorado
Music City Nashville Dec 30 Maryland Kentucky
BWW Citrus Orlando Dec 31 N. Carolina Auburn
TaxSlayer Jacksonville Dec 31 Florida St. Georgia
Outback Tampa Jan 2 Penn St. Tennessee
Orange Miami Dec 30 Louisville Nebraska
Cotton Arlington Jan 2 W. Michigan Wisconsin
Rose Pasadena Jan 2 Ohio St. Washington St.
Sugar New Orleans Jan 2 Oklahoma Florida
Fiesta (Semi) Glendale Dec 31 Alabama Washington
Peach (Semi) Atlanta Dec 31 Clemson Michigan

Bowl Projections

New Mexico Albuquerque Dec 17 S. Mississippi New Mexico
Las Vegas Las Vegas Dec 17 San Diego St. California
Camellia Montgomery Dec 17 E. Michigan App. St.
Cure Orlando Dec 17 SMU Idaho
New Orleans New Orleans Dec 17 La Tech Ga Southern
Miami Beach Miami Dec 19 UCF Ohio
Boca Raton Boca Raton Dec 20 Temple W. Kentucky
Poinsettia San Diego Dec 21 BYU Colorado St.
Famous Idaho Boise Dec 22 C. Michigan Wyoming
Bahamas Nassau Dec 23 Tulsa Toledo
Armed Forces Fort Worth Dec 23 Navy Texas
Dollar General Mobile Dec 23 Akron Troy
Hawaii Honolulu Dec 24 W. Kentucky Air Force
St. Pete St. Petersburg Dec 26 S. Florida Miami
Quick Lane Detroit Dec 26 Boston College Indiana
Independence Shreveport Dec 26 NC State Vanderbilt
Heart of Dallas Dallas Dec 27 Texas Tech UTSA
Military Annapolis Dec 27 Memphis Syracuse
Holiday San Diego Dec 27 Minnesota USC
Cactus Phoenix Dec 27 TCU Arizona St.
Pinstripe Bronx Dec 28 Pittsburgh Northwestern
Russell Athletic Orlando Dec 28 Virginia Tech W. Virginia
Foster Farms Santa Clara Dec 28 Iowa Stanford
Texas Houston Dec 28 Oklahoma St. Texas A&M
Birmingham Birmingham Dec 29 Houston South Carolina
Belk Charlotte Dec 29 Wake Forest Arkansas
Alamo San Antonio Dec 29 Baylor Utah
Arizona Tucson Dec 30 Mid Tenn St. Boise St.
Liberty Memphis Dec 30 Kansas St. LSU
Sun El Paso Dec 30 Georgia Tech Colorado
Music City Nashville Dec 30 Maryland Kentucky
BWW Citrus Orlando Dec 31 N. Carolina Auburn
TaxSlayer Jacksonville Dec 31 Florida St. Georgia
Outback Tampa Jan 2 Penn St. Tennessee
Orange Miami Dec 30 Louisville Nebraska
Cotton Arlington Jan 2 W. Michigan Wisconsin
Rose Pasadena Jan 2 Ohio St. Washington St.
Sugar New Orleans Jan 2 Oklahoma Florida
Fiesta (Semi) Glendale Dec 31 Alabama Washington
Peach (Semi) Atlanta Dec 31 Clemson Michigan

Bowl Projections

New Mexico Albuquerque Dec 17 S. Mississippi New Mexico
Las Vegas Las Vegas Dec 17 San Diego St. Washington St.
Camellia Montgomery Dec 17 Akron Ga. Southern
Cure Orlando Dec 17 Tulane Idaho
New Orleans New Orleans Dec 17 La Tech Troy
Miami Beach Miami Dec 19 UCF Toledo
Boca Raton Boca Raton Dec 20 Temple W. Kentucky
Poinsettia San Diego Dec 21 BYU Air Force
Famous Idaho Boise Dec 22 E. Michigan California
Bahamas Nassau Dec 23 Tulsa W. Michigan
Armed Forces Fort Worth Dec 23 Navy Texas
Dollar General Mobile Dec 23 C. Michigan App. St.
Hawaii Honolulu Dec 24 Old Dominion Wyoming
St. Pete St. Petersburg Dec 26 S. Florida Georgia Tech
Quick Lane Detroit Dec 26 Boston College Minnesota
Independence Shreveport Dec 26 Miami UTSA
Heart of Dallas Dallas Dec 27 Purdue N. Texas
Military Annapolis Dec 27 Memphis Wake Forest
Holiday San Diego Dec 27 Penn St. Stanford
Cactus Phoenix Dec 27 Kansas St. Colorado
Pinstripe Bronx Dec 28 Pittsburgh Northwestern
Russell Athletic Orlando Dec 28 Florida St. TCU
Foster Farms Santa Clara Dec 28 Indiana USC
Texas Houston Dec 28 Texas Tech Arkansas
Birmingham Birmingham Dec 29 Houston Army
Belk Charlotte Dec 29 N. Carolina Kentucky
Alamo San Antonio Dec 29 Oklahoma Utah
Arizona Tucson Dec 30 Mid Tenn St. S. Alabama
Liberty Memphis Dec 30 Oklahoma St. Ole Miss
Sun El Paso Dec 30 NC State Arizona St.
Music City Nashville Dec 30 Maryland Georgia
BWW Citrus Orlando Dec 31 Wisconsin Tennessee
TaxSlayer Jacksonville Dec 31 Virginia Tech LSU
Outback Tampa Jan 2 Iowa Auburn
Orange Miami Dec 30 Louisville Florida
Cotton Arlington Jan 2 Boise St. W. Virginia
Rose Pasadena Jan 2 Nebraska Washington
Sugar New Orleans Jan 2 Baylor Texas A&M
Fiesta (Semi) Glendale Dec 31 Ohio St. Michigan
Peach (Semi) Atlanta Dec 31 Alabama Clemson

Bowl Projections

Some things will obviously sort themselves out.  Michigan and Ohio State are both in the playoff right now.  This will likely change after they meet at the end of the season, but until then, they are both there.

 

New Mexico Albuquerque Dec 17 Mid Tenn St Nevada
Las Vegas Las Vegas Dec 17 San Diego St. UCLA
Camellia Montgomery Dec 17 C. Michigan App. St.
Cure Orlando Dec 17 Tulane Georgia Sthn.
New Orleans New Orleans Dec 17 La Tech Troy
Miami Beach Miami Dec 19 Temple Toledo
Boca Raton Boca Raton Dec 20 UCF S. Mississippi
Poinsettia San Diego Dec 21 BYU Air Force
Famous Idaho Boise Dec 22 Akron Wyoming
Bahamas Nassau Dec 23 Tulsa W. Michigan
Armed Forces Fort Worth Dec 23 Navy Oklahoma St.
Dollar General Mobile Dec 23 Ohio Idaho
Hawaii Honolulu Dec 24 Old Dominion Hawaii
St. Pete St. Petersburg Dec 26 S. Florida NC State
Quick Lane Detroit Dec 26 Pittsburgh Minnesota
Independence Shreveport Dec 26 Georgia Tech Cincinnati
Heart of Dallas Dallas Dec 27 Army N. Texas
Military Annapolis Dec 27 Memphis Wake Forest
Holiday San Diego Dec 27 Penn St. Stanford
Cactus Phoenix Dec 27 Texas Tech Colorado
Pinstripe Bronx Dec 28 Miami Purdue
Russell Athletic Orlando Dec 28 Louisville Oklahoma
Foster Farms Santa Clara Dec 28 Indiana Washington St.
Texas Houston Dec 28 TCU California
Birmingham Birmingham Dec 29 Houston LSU
Belk Charlotte Dec 29 N. Carolina E. Michigan
Alamo San Antonio Dec 29 W. Virginia Arizona St.
Arizona Tucson Dec 30 W. Kentucky Colorado St.
Liberty Memphis Dec 30 Kansas St. Connecticut
Sun El Paso Dec 30 Virginia Tech USC
Music City Nashville Dec 30 Iowa Kentucky
BWW Citrus Orlando Dec 31 Wisconsin Auburn
TaxSlayer Jacksonville Dec 31 Florida St. Georgia
Outback Tampa Jan 2 Maryland Arkansas
Orange Miami Dec 30 Clemson Tennessee
Cotton Arlington Jan 2 Boise St. Florida
Rose Pasadena Jan 2 Nebraska Utah
Sugar New Orleans Jan 2 Baylor Texas A&M
Fiesta (Semi) Glendale Dec 31 Ohio St. Washington
Peach (Semi) Atlanta Dec 31 Michigan Alabama

Still crazy early bowl projections

Teams are placed in bowls as if the season ended Saturday.  Must be .500 or better.  Unfilled bowl slots given to 2-3 teams with highest APR.

New Mexico Albuquerque Dec 17 Duke Northwestern
Las Vegas Las Vegas Dec 17 Boise St. Colorado
Camellia Montgomery Dec 17 Akron S. Alabama
Cure Orlando Dec 17 Tulane Ga Southern
New Orleans New Orleans Dec 17 S. Mississippi Troy
Miami Beach Miami Dec 19 UCF W. Michigan
Boca Raton Boca Raton Dec 20 Temple Washington St.
Poinsettia San Diego Dec 21 Army San Diego St.
Famous Idaho Boise Dec 22 C. Michigan Wyoming
Bahamas Nassau Dec 23 Cincinnati E. Michigan
Armed Forces Fort Worth Dec 23 Navy Texas
Dollar General Mobile Dec 23 Ball St. App. St.
Hawaii Honolulu Dec 24 Old Dominion Air Force
St. Pete St. Petersburg Dec 26 S. Florida Pittsburgh
Quick Lane Detroit Dec 26 Ohio Michigan St.
Independence Shreveport Dec 26 Georgia Tech Kansas St.
Heart of Dallas Dallas Dec 27 Purdue W. Kentucky
Military Annapolis Dec 27 Memphis Boston College
Holiday San Diego Dec 27 Indiana Utah
Cactus Phoenix Dec 27 Oklahoma St. California
Pinstripe Bronx Dec 28 Wake Forest Minnesota
Russell Athletic Orlando Dec 28 N. Carolina Oklahoma
Foster Farms Santa Clara Dec 28 Penn St UCLA
Texas Houston Dec 28 TCU Arkansas
Birmingham Birmingham Dec 29 Tulsa Vanderbilt
Belk Charlotte Dec 29 NC State Miss. St.
Alamo San Antonio Dec 29 W. Virginia Stanford
Arizona Tucson Dec 30 MidTennSt New Mexico
Liberty Memphis Dec 30 Texas Tech LSU
Sun El Paso Dec 30 Virginia Tech Arizona St.
Music City Nashville Dec 30 Iowa Georgia
BWW Citrus Orlando Dec 31 Miami Florida
TaxSlayer Jacksonville Dec 31 Florida St. Ole Miss
Outback Tampa Jan 2 Maryland Auburn
Orange Miami Dec 30 Louisville Wisconsin
Cotton Arlington Jan 2 Houston Texas A&M
Rose Pasadena Jan 2 Nebraska Washington
Sugar New Orleans Jan 2 Baylor Tennessee
Fiesta (Semi) Glendale Dec 31 Alabama Michigan
Peach (Semi) Atlanta Dec 31 Ohio St. Clemson

 

Way too early bowl projections

I will be making weekly bowl projections this year.  I have done this informally, not that his is very formal, for a few years.  The most important note about these projections is that teams must have a .500 record at the time of the projections to qualify, unless less than 80 teams are at that mark.  Also, the projections do not take into account any future games.  They are based solely on games played to this point.

 

New Mexico Albuquerque Dec 17 Army Colorado St.
Las Vegas Las Vegas Dec 17 Boise St. California
Camellia Montgomery Dec 17 Toledo Troy
Cure Orlando Dec 17 UCF Ga Southern
New Orleans New Orleans Dec 17 S. Mississippi La Lafayette
Miami Beach Miami Dec 19 Memphis E. Michigan
Boca Raton Boca Raton Dec 20 Cincinnati Old Dominion
Poinsettia San Diego Dec 21 Akron San Diego St.
Famous Idaho Boise Dec 22 W. Michigan Wyoming
Bahamas Nassau Dec 23 Tulsa C. Michigan
Armed Forces Fort Worth Dec 23 Navy Texas Tech
Dollar General Mobile Dec 23 Ball St. App. St.
Hawaii Honolulu Dec 24 Middle Tenn St. Air Force
St. Pete St. Petersburg Dec 26 S. Florida Georgia Tech
Quick Lane Detroit Dec 26 Pittsburgh Iowa
Independence Shreveport Dec 26 Duke Mississippi St.
Heart of Dallas Dallas Dec 27 Penn St. N. Texas
Military Annapolis Dec 27 E. Carolina NC State
Holiday San Diego Dec 27 Maryland UCLA
Cactus Phoenix Dec 27 Oklahoma St. Oregon
Pinstripe Bronx Dec 28 Wake Forest Indiana
Russell Athletic Orlando Dec 28 Miami Texas
Foster Farms Santa Clara Dec 28 Purdue Arizona St.
Texas Houston Dec 28 TCU LSU
Birmingham Birmingham Dec 29 SMU S. Carolina
Belk Charlotte Dec 29 N. Carolina Kentucky
Alamo San Antonio Dec 29 W. Virginia Utah
Arizona Tucson Dec 30 W. Kentucky Utah St.
Liberty Memphis Dec 30 Kansas St. Ole Miss
Sun El Paso Dec 30 Virginia Tech Colorado
Music City Nashville Dec 30 Minnesota Arkansas
BWW Citrus Orlando Dec 31 Nebraska Florida
TaxSlayer Jacksonville Dec 31 Florida St. Auburn
Outback Tampa Jan 2 Michigan St. Georgia
Orange Miami Dec 30 Clemson Texas A&M
Cotton Arlington Jan 2 Houston Washington
Rose Pasadena Jan 2 Michigan Stanford
Sugar New Orleans Jan 2 Baylor Tennessee
Fiesta (Semi) Glendale Dec 31 Ohio St. Louisville
Peach (Semi) Atlanta Dec 31 Alabama Wisconsin
Championship Tampa Jan 9

Final Bracket

  1. Kansas, Oregon, N. Carolina, Michigan St.
  2. Villanova, Virginia, Oklahoma, Utah
  3. W. Virginia, Kentucky, Miami, Texas A&M
  4. Xavier, Arizona, California, Purdue
  5. Texas, Duke, Indiana, Maryland
  6. Seton Hall, Iowa St., Baylor, Notre Dame
  7. St. Joseph’s, Colorado, Oregon St., Connecticut
  8. Dayton, Iowa, Wisconsin, Cincinnati
  9. Providence, USC, Butler, Texas Tech
  10. S. Carolina, Gonzaga, Temple, St. Mary’s
  11. VCU, Michigan, Pittsburgh, St. Bonaventure, Wichita St., Hawaii
  12. Chattanooga, Ark-Little Rock, S.F. Austin, N. Iowa
  13. Yale, NC-Wilmington, Stony Brook, S. Dakota St.
  14. Fresno St., Iona, Cal. St. Bakersfield, Mid. Tenn. St.
  15. Weber St., Green Bay, Buffalo, Hampton
  16. UNC-Asheville, Fla. Gulf Coast, Fair. Dickinson, Southern, Austin Peay, Holy Cross

Next teams:

69. Vanderbilt
70. Florida
71. Syracuse
72. Monmouth
73. Tulsa
74. Valparaiso
75. Georgia
76. Florida St.

Selection Sunday Morning Edition

  1. Kansas, Oregon, N. Carolina, Michigan St.
  2. Villanova, Virginia, Oklahoma, Utah
  3. W. Virginia, Texas A&M, Miami, Xavier
  4. Kentucky, Arizona, California, Purdue
  5. Texas, Duke, Indiana, Maryland
  6. Seton Hall, Iowa St., Baylor, Notre Dame
  7. St. Joseph’s, Colorado, Oregon St., Connecticut
  8. Dayton, Iowa, Wisconsin, Cincinnati
  9. Providence, USC, Butler, Texas Tech
  10. S. Carolina, Gonzaga, Temple, St. Mary’s
  11. VCU, Michigan, Pittsburgh, St. Bonaventure, Wichita St., Hawaii
  12. Chattanooga, Ark-Little Rock, S.F. Austin, N. Iowa
  13. Yale, NC-Wilmington, Stony Brook, S. Dakota St.
  14. Fresno St., Iona, Cal. St. Bakersfield, Mid. Tenn. St.
  15. Weber St., Green Bay, Buffalo, Hampton
  16. UNC-Asheville, Fla. Gulf Coast, Fair. Dickinson, Southern, Austin Peay, Holy Cross

Next teams:

69. Vanderbilt
70. Florida
71. Syracuse
72. Monmouth
73. Tulsa
74. Valparaiso
75. Georgia
76. Florida St.